A breakdown of the sources of many air pollutants that damage our health and ecosystems.
Millions of people die prematurely from air pollution every year. This problem has existed since humans started burning materials for fuel — first wood and biomass, then fossil fuels.
But it’s an environmental and public health problem that we can make progress on. We know this because the world has already been successful in reducing air pollutants, and many countries that used to be highly polluted now have much cleaner air than they used to.
To tackle air pollution effectively — to focus our efforts on the interventions that will have the biggest impact — we need to understand where it’s coming from.
That’s why we wrote this article.1
A note on data and definitions
The main data source we rely on is the Community Emissions Data System (CEDS). There are a couple of reasons why we think it’s an incredibly valuable resource:
- It has long-term global and national data extending back to the 18th century and is frequently updated with the latest estimates for 2022.
- It’s published with an open-access license and transparent methodology and inputs, which you can find on GitHub. The peer-reviewed paper describing the methodology is here.2
- This online data resource is open to user comments and feedback, so errors or issues can be easily reported.
- CEDS provides clear documentation of data improvements and detailed comparisons of recent updates against previous versions.
To be clear, CEDS does not have high-quality measurements of emissions of air pollutants — certainly not dating back to the 18th century. These figures are calculated and modeled based on inputs, such as the quantity of different fuels that were burned, technological advancements and pollution controls, fertilizer use, and agricultural production. You can, for example, estimate the amount of sulfur dioxide produced from burning one tonne of coal in a power plant (with or without pollution filters).
Of course, this means the data comes with some uncertainty, especially in earlier periods. However, it gives us a reasonable and consistent global dataset to understand how trends in emissions of air pollutants have changed over time.
This article will focus on the breakdown of pollutants by their source. For this, we’ll use a categorization based on CEDS’s classification. In the table below, we summarize what is included in each category.
Category |
Sub-categories |
---|---|
Agriculture |
Enteric fermentation Fuel use in agriculture, forestry, and fishing Indirect N₂O emissions Manure management Rice cultivation Soil emissions Other agricultural emissions |
Buildings |
Commercial and institutional buildings Residential buildings |
Domestic aviation |
Domestic aviation |
Energy |
Electricity production (autoproducer) Electricity production (public) Fossil fuel fires Fugitive emissions from natural gas distribution Fugitive emissions from natural gas production Fugitive emissions from other energy sources Fugitive emissions from petroleum Fugitive emissions from solid fuels Heat production Other energy transformation Other fuel use (unspecified) |
Industry |
Adipic acid production Aluminum production Cement production Chemical industry Industrial combustion (chemicals) Industrial combustion (construction) Industrial combustion (food and tobacco) Industrial combustion (iron and steel) Industrial combustion (machinery) Industrial combustion (mining and quarrying) Industrial combustion (non-ferrous metals) Industrial combustion (non-metallic minerals) Industrial combustion (other) Industrial combustion (pulp and paper) Industrial combustion (textile and leather) Industrial combustion (transport equipment) Industrial combustion (wood products) Iron and steel alloy production Lime production Nitric acid production Other mineral production Other non-ferrous metal production Pulp and paper, food, beverage, and wood processing |
International aviation |
International aviation |
International shipping |
International shipping Oil tanker loading |
Solvents |
Chemical products manufacture and processing Degreasing and cleaning Other product use Paint application |
Transport |
Domestic navigation Rail transportation Road transportation Other transport |
Waste |
Solid waste disposal Waste combustion Wastewater handling Other waste handling Other waste sources Unspecified waste sources |
Before we discuss the sources of some of the key air pollutants, we should briefly explain how air pollution affects human health and how each of these pollutants contributes to this.
There are three key pathways by which a pollutant can cause harm3:
- Direct exposure: Some gases are toxic and can have an acute effect on health. These acute impacts are more common for people with existing respiratory conditions such as asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This direct exposure does cost lives, but the total number is relatively small compared to the millions that die from chronic exposure to air pollution.
- Formation of particulate matter: Many of the pollutants we’ll look at contribute to health impacts indirectly by breaking down to form secondary smaller particles. These particles are called “particulate matter”. Typically, the smaller the particles are, the worse they can be for human health because they can enter our lungs and airways — and, in some cases, the bloodstream. Particulate matter can cause respiratory and cardiovascular problems, including cancer, strokes, and heart attacks.
- Formation of ozone: Another indirect way these pollutants can affect our health is by forming a gas called ozone (O3). Ozone can cause breathing problems and worsen acute conditions like asthma and COPD4. However, it also affects our health through chronic exposure by causing inflammation of the lungs, increasing the risk of respiratory diseases, and reducing our cardiovascular health.
As we discuss each pollutant, we’ll briefly explain how it affects health through one or several pathways. While it’s difficult to pinpoint exactly how many deaths each pollutant causes, wherever possible, we’ll also try to give a rough order of magnitude estimate.
To give some sense of scale, here is the Global Burden of Disease’s breakdown of global deaths from air pollution.5
In 2021, this totaled around 8 million deaths. Note that there are also natural sources of particulate matter, so not all of these pollution deaths resulted from human emissions. But most did. For more on this, see our colleague Max Roser’s article, which looks at estimates from various sources.
3.1 million came from household air pollution, a combination of direct toxicity and particulate matter. 4.7 million came from outdoor particulate matter, and another half a million from outdoor ozone pollution.6
Sulfur dioxide: the source of acid rain
Sulfur dioxide (SO2) is the main pollutant that causes acid rain. This has been a major environmental problem because acid rain can change the chemistry of rivers and lakes, affecting fish populations, soils, and the extent and quality of forests. You can also see the effects of acid rain on older limestone and marble buildings and statues, where the acidity dissolves parts of the structure.
There are two ways that SO2 can threaten human health. First, direct inhalation of SO2 can exacerbate respiratory problems such as asthma and bronchitis. But its main contribution is by breaking down to form small particulate matter. While an exact figure is hard to pin down, given that sulfur dioxide is a substantial contributor to particulate matter and that at least 4 million deaths are linked to these small particles yearly, we would estimate that hundreds of thousands of deaths per year are linked to SO2.
SO2 is formed when we burn fuels that contain sulfur.
The charts below show where global emissions come from and how these sectors have changed over time. In 2022, energy production was the biggest contributor by far. This is predominantly due to power from coal, which has sulfur impurities that are released when it’s burned.
The main contribution of the industry is the metal smelting process.7 This is because many of the ores that are used to produce metals – such as pyrite – contain large amounts of sulfur, which is released when they are roasted at high temperatures.
Oil also contains sulfur, which is why road transport, shipping, and aviation all contribute. Shipping emissions have received a lot of attention in the last few years because they dropped by more than 70% in 2020 after the introduction of tight regulations on maritime fuels.
You’ll notice that global emissions of SO2 peaked in 1979 and have almost halved since then, thanks to the introduction of po
17 Comments
sebastiennight
Interesting article. I always assumed that a large part of the "soot" air pollution in cities came from car tyres as well, since their compounds are one of the main sources for the dust that deposits in apartments.
johnthesecure
It's interesting to see the number of deaths caused by pollution. But everyone will die of something. Could it be that many of those people whose death was caused by pollution may have been frail and close to death anyway? I wonder if it would be more useful to talk about quality-life-years (QUALYs) lost as a result of pollution. Probably much harder to get that data though.
OsrsNeedsf2P
Really wish they showed deaths per capita instead of raw deaths for all their data sources. It would be better for doing country by country comparisons
phtrivier
What still baffles me is the reduction in SO2 emissions due to regulations on shipping fuel.
How did the shipping industry accept / manage / afford to switch fuels (presumably, to more expensive ones) in order to follow the regulation ; as opposed to delay / deny / deflect, or plain old lobbying the hell against the changes ?
Are we in a "Montreal protocol" situation, where the alternative was existing and acceptable and in the same price range ?
Or did one actor implement coercion differently ? Was a standard change made, that enabled drop-in replacement ?
(If we were living under Discworld-like physics where narrativium existed, I would understand _why_ the change happened : it's making climate change worst, so of course there is all the power of narrative irony.
Are we in a world governed by narrative irony ? That would explain so many things…)
DeathArrow
And all these claims are backed up by some hard scientific proofs?
alexmccain6
One of the most striking aspects of air pollution is how invisible yet pervasive its effects are. Unlike more immediate environmental disasters, air pollution slowly chips away at public health, reducing life expectancy and quality of life, often without dramatic headlines. The comparison to starvation as a "frailty multiplier" is an interesting one; pollution doesn’t always kill directly but makes people more susceptible to fatal conditions.
Regarding the reduction in SO₂ emissions from shipping fuel, I’d love to see more discussion on how international regulatory pressure (e.g., IMO 2020) managed to enforce compliance in an industry notorious for cost-cutting. Was it simply a case of the alternatives being feasible enough, or did global coordination and monitoring play a stronger role than usual?
rdtsc
The deaths breakdown by region is interesting:
Africa: 1.8M
South America: 149k
North America: 179k
Australia: 4k
Europe: 434k
Asia: 6.3M
I guess to keep it positive, I'd say "Great job, Australia"!
TimByte
It's wild how many pollutants trace back to the same root cause: burning stuff. Fossil fuels, biomass, agriculture byproducts – it’s all combustion and decomposition in different forms.
Jiahang
After experiencing the COVID-19 pandemic, I have developed the habit of wearing a mask.
nomilk
Something I haven't quite figured out is why my perceptions of cities' air pollution differ dramatically from their readings as reported by air quality sites.
I suspect readings are quite dependent on the specific location of the reading device. E.g. if the air quality monitor is located in a claustrophobic city street with lots of motorcycle traffic (e.g. Nha Trang), air pollution might be through the roof, but 100m away on the beach it might be clean(ish) air. Similar for 'leafy' cities (e.g. Singapore), where 100m can make a huge difference in air quality e.g. near a park vs beside a busy road.
Curious to know if the science backs up my suspicion that ostensibly 'polluted' cities sometimes have unpolluted alcoves (and 'clean' cities have spaces with bad air), so your micro environment really matters (more than the 'average' reading for that city, anyway).
xlii
I thought that this article will address an elephant in the room but either it missed it or I missed it.
My problem with pollution is that… you need to measure it, and those who pollute don’t do it consciously. Anecdotally I often drive through a small town. You can smell pollution, a plastic smell. In winter you can see column of smoke coming out of chimney. Sometimes it’s milky white, sometimes it thick black. There are many like that. I asked shop keeper is it happening often, she confirmed and said that no one is interested in doing otherwise, installing sensors was directly opposed by town council.
The town is not on a pollution map. Nearby cities are with medium-high pollution but that particular region is supposedly clean as reported by a single sensor positioned somewhere on a hill.
It’s not like there is one town like that in the world. There are nations that pollute heavily and don’t care and don’t meter the impact. I would be curious if all the effort, regulations etc. are worth it when applied to average Joe versus huge polluters.
h1fra
What's scary is that all significant sources of pollution are going down, except the ones related to agriculture (ammonia and methane) which are showing no signs of slowing down.
I feel like you can bend the heavy industry because it's just "a few" people to convince, but you can't change 7B people's eating habits :/
PeterStuer
It is easy to be 'green' and 'net-zero' when all you do is exporting your polluting production elsewhere and importing the goods while leaving the dirt on the manufacturer's books, and trade away your own pollution with nifty 'carbon credit' scams.
Top marks for never curbing your consumption while claiming the superior virtue position.
Extra credits for wagging a damning finger at those 'polluters' that actually make and ship your stuff.
k__
I fondly remember the police driving through my small town, telling everyone to stay at home because the tire yard is burning again.
triknomeister
Looking at how much pollution is from energy, solar does seem to be the best thing that can happen in current timeline to humanity. Global warming AND pollution gone in a single stroke.
spwa4
I wish articles like this would give some attention to how much we've already improved. We used to drive leaded gasoline, for example. The amount of damage that caused puts NOx to shame.
pjsousa79
In 2019, ambient air pollution claimed the lives of young children at alarming rates in several countries. Here's the top 10 list of countries with the highest number of deaths per 100,000 children under 5 due to ambient air pollution:
Nigeria – 18.95
Chad – 18.10
Sierra Leone – 12.02
Mali – 10.56
Guinea – 9.90
Niger – 9.64
Cote d'Ivoire – 9.04
Central African Republic – 8.79
Cameroon – 8.69
Burkina Faso – 8.68
These numbers highlight how air pollution isn't just an urban problem — it's a public health crisis in low-income countries where children are the most vulnerable.
Source: Baselight analysis using data from Our World in Data, originally supplied by the World Health Organization (WHO).
https://baselight.app/u/pjsousa/query/top-10-countries-with-…